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The Currency Korner        
By -The FX Specialist-
Philip J. Magnoli

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FX Specialist Insight
-brought to you by Philip J. Magnoli
 An expression of thought; September 22, 2023
——–The Currency Korner——–

The Way I See Things

Volume 9 Issue 2

“Expectation is the root of all heartache.”                             

      – William Shakespeare

 

Good morning

On Wednesday morning I attended a rally intended to give parents a voice with respect to the curriculum being taught to children. I went out of curiosity as well as concern as I feel there is definitely an erosion in the morals and values that my generation was accustomed to.

There are always two sides to every coin and it clearly was a day of rising tensions, especially when it comes to the topic of sex education for school-aged children. My eldest daughter made a valid point, she was clear and decisive about not getting involved with these types of rallies, for one specific reason, they are designed to create animosity, hatred and ultimately division.

They dangle the carrot and the stick to entice clashes. Further to divide the people, slowly normalizing heightened surveillance and police presence with drones becoming more common. A subliminal message under the guise of security ultimately to control people’s presence and participation. 

After a beautiful weekend,  the week continued as the end of summer turned to Fall. How does someone ruin the ambiance, simple, you walk the dog on the sidewalk, meant for pedestrians, then an idiot rides his bike on the same path.  My anxiety was heightened, especially when there were clearly painted, tax-paid, bike lanes on the street. I thought to myself should I close-line him as I reached for a rock? But then again what would it accomplish?

Consequently, we all have bigger fish to fry as the Federal Reserve announced, on Wednesday afternoon, that interest rates would be left unchanged. This was highly anticipated even though inflation remains heightened.  The build-up was a guessing game, keeping the markets on edge. The USD Index catapulted from the 103 level to above the 105.0 level as a result. Nonetheless, the charade will continue as we move forward with more data used to drive opinion ultimately converting to decisions. This pause in my opinion is designed to psychologically prepare those robbing Peter to pay Paul with the hope that the increases will end. Keep in mind, that what has been done has already caused hardships.

Yet to the detriment of all, the policy of increasing rates has failed miserably to contain inflation. I repeat inflation will not come under control until government spending is curtailed and Central Bankers stop printing excessive amounts of money. Case in point, Canadian Inflation rose from 3.3% to 4%, yet the Bank of Canada also didn’t raise rates because we are reaching an equilibrium toward disaster!

The decision to not raise rates simply pushes the anticipation forward to the next rate decision without solving a thing.  Their 2% target is unrealistic as it will curb spending and destroy jobs, a scenario they want without concern for the average person. The Philly Fed Mfg Index came in at <-13.5> vs expected <-0.7> yet Jobless Claims dropped to 201K from (225K) expected (seems positive but remember people are also taking on second jobs to keep up with debt). Indeed we are headed to a point where people will own nothing and be miserable like those living in Toronto having to watch Ford and Chow at the podium as if the Circus will only cast clowns.

The Bank of England also left rates unchanged as the GBP takes a pounding.  The USD Index soars after the announcement and stands above the 105.70 level. Currencies weaken and Precious Metals dive on perceived USD strength. Gold remains in the low $1900/oz level and Silver around the $23/oz level. Meanwhile, Oil will skew inflation again as it hit $92/Barrel this week and looks poised to go higher just before the first Fall weekend. The Canadian Dollar dipped below the 0.74 cent level after a short rally near the 0.75 cent level.  Canadian Retail Sales were up 0.3% vs (0.4%) expected in July, giving a little boost along with higher Oil to the Cad$.  To reiterate, this will only bolster inflation as the cost of goods rises across the board.  The trees are turning colours, but for many having to renew their mortgages the colour green will remain common as stomachs will turn as the leaves fall. 

 

Pass it on as I am always available to provide the most advanced foreign exchange services and knowledge, efficiency, expertise, and above all integrity. Referrals are welcomed and very much appreciated.
… Don’t Forgetta bout Me!!!!

Foreign Exchange Service is my Specialty.
Direct# 416-992-7765

Contact Me Direct via email at phil@aloris.ca

Don’t Forgettaa bout Me!!!!

Sincerely,
Philip Magnoli – The FX Specialist-

Direct:     416-992-7765 
Email:    phil@aloris.ca          

Opinions expressed within are that of the author alone and do not reflect in any, way, shape, or form, any Company I choose to associate myself with. This is the intellectual property of Magnoli Financial Services Corp. www.donfilippo.ca 

 

 
 
 

 
 
 

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